Tuesday, August 17, 2010

The Minute The Cruise Missiles Hit Iran We've Lost

There's no way for the U.S. to win a non-nuclear war with Iran

"When Admiral Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the highest-ranking American officer, was asked recently on NBC’s Meet The Press whether the United States has a military plan for an attack on Iran, he replied simply: “We do.”
General staffs are supposed to plan for even the most unlikely future contingencies. Right down to the 1930s, for example, the United States maintained and annually updated plans for the invasion of Canada—and the Canadian military made plans to preempt the invasion. But what the planning process will have revealed, in this case, is that there is no way for the United States to win a non-nuclear war with Iran.
The U.S. could “win” by dropping hundreds of nuclear weapons on Iran’s military bases, nuclear facilities and industrial centres (i.e. cities) and killing five to 10 million people, but short of that, nothing works. On this we have the word of Richard Clarke, counter-terrorism adviser in the White House under three administrations.
In the early 1990s, Clarke revealed in an interview with the New York Times four years ago, the Clinton administration had seriously considered a bombing campaign against Iran, but the military professionals told them not to do it.
“After a long debate, the highest levels of the military could not forecast a way in which things would end favourably for the United States,” he said. The Pentagon’s planners have war-gamed an attack on Iran several times in the past 15 years, and they just can’t make it come out as a U.S. victory."


That's not quite correct. In the summer of 2002 the US military played a $250,000,000 war game against a powerful "rogue state" in the middle east. It was ballyhooed as the most sophisticated war exercise ever. It certainly was the most expensive. The "dictator" of the enemy was a retired marine named Lieutenant General Paul Van Riper.
Van Riper used unorthodox and low tech methods against the invading mighty US military and won handily.
What did the pentagon do?
They raised the sunken US ships, brought the dead americans back to life and started over, this time forcing Van Riper to play the games with one hand tied behind his back until the US could bellow it's great triumph.

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