Saturday, April 04, 2009

Our Aircraft Carriers Are Expensive, Defenseless Sitting Ducks

This article is the latest in the same vein - that carrior groups are mainly for show, and the military knows it.
Oh sure, they can sit off the coast of a small country and fly sortes in and out while they bomb the shit out of a defenseless population that can't strike back. They can steam around and impress the gullible and can be used for douchbag photo ops, but every day that goes by they become more obsolete. Technology has long since passed them by and is increasingly available to anybody with a few bucks.
It's a deadly scam and is probably the reason why Iran was never attacked. There may have been a lot of pouty faces at the thought of suicide missions.

"I've been saying for a long time that aircraft carriers are just history's most expensive floating targets and that they were doomed.
But now I can tell you exactly how they're going to die. I've just read one of the most shocking stories in years. It comes from the U.S. Naval Institute, not exactly an alarmist or anti-Navy source. And what it says is that the U.S. carrier group is scrap metal.
The Chinese military has developed a ballistic missile, Dong Feng 21, specifically designed to kill U.S. aircraft carriers:
"Because the missile employs a complex guidance system, low radar signature and a maneuverability that makes its flight path unpredictable, the odds that it can evade tracking systems to reach its target are increased. It is estimated that the missile can travel at Mach 10 and reach its maximum range of 2,000 kilometers in less than 12 minutes."
That's the U.S. Naval Institute talking, remember. They're understating the case when they say that, with speed, satellite guidance and maneuverability like that, "the odds that it can evade tracking systems to reach its target are increased."
You know why that's an understatement? Because of a short little sentence I found further on in the article -- and before you read that sentence, I want all you trusting Pentagon groupies to promise me that you'll think hard about what it implies. Here's the sentence: "Ships currently have no defense against a ballistic missile attack."


This has been known for decades but still they built the fleets. That article goes on to talk about Chinese weapons, but the Russians have been busy developing navy busters for far longer. There's one missile thats probably all over the middle east by now, the extremely powerful Moskit, or Sunburn:

"The Sunburn can deliver a 200-kiloton nuclear payload, or: a 750-pound conventional warhead, within a range of 100 miles, more than twice the range of the Exocet. The Sunburn combines a Mach 2.1 speed (two times the speed of sound) with a flight pattern that hugs the deck and includes “violent end maneuvers” to elude enemy defenses. The missile was specifically designed to defeat the US Aegis radar defense system."
"The Sunburn’s combined supersonic speed and payload size produce tremendous kinetic energy on impact, with devastating consequences for ship and crew. A single one of these missiles can sink a large warship, yet costs considerably less than a fighter jet. Although the Navy has been phasing out the older Phalanx defense system, its replacement, known as the Rolling Action Missile (RAM) has never been tested against the weapon it seems destined to one day face in combat."

But pay no attention to the fact that surface ships are now giant floating coffins and the military clearly realizes it. In FY 2010 alone the Obama administration is planning to build four of the largest, most modern, most expensive and the most vulnerable battleships in the world.

4 Comments:

Blogger Alex said...

Sorry to point this out to you, but; china has still not managed to sort out its real time target acquisition and tracking system as well as the logistical support for this supposed new weapon (which I have seen a lot about in western papers, but the chinese have been unusually reticent compared to their usual trumping of such advances), the Russian Sunburn is slow in modern warfare terms, and its vessels still have to get in range to fire it.

plus the USN is the most advanced at dealing with these, unlike the chines Balistic fleet killer, which has yet to even be tested (if it is anything more than a drawing and design concept at the moment), the SM-3 has been tested and been found to be very good at taking out these missiles as well as (perhaps more importantly) the low flying Radar/Recon satelites such a system would depend apon.

Untill you come up with a better method of providing tangible tactical air power in any situation around the world; which can be rearmed and put back in the air in hours rather than days, without the need for building a huge expensive air base which can not be moved, so will either be destroyed in the first wave of attacks or useless once the war is over, so you have to build another one, and another one....and so forth; carriers will remain as being the best method of providing the strategic power projection which a navy with the mission statement of the USN requires.

yours sincerly

Alex

5/4/09 4:11 AM  
Blogger nolocontendere said...

Thank you for your comments, Alex.
The Sunburn's end maneuvers have never been tested against ship defenses, of course, as well as prototype Chinese missiles.
But potential adversaries learned quite a while ago that they could never match US naval firepower and went a different route to defeat it. While we spent trillions developing floating technological marvels they developed relatively low cost and highly effective antidotes with these missile systems which at this point can be stopped only in theory.
We can't get too confident in our slow and fat naval forces and several instances prove it. A year and a half ago that Chinese sub suddenly and unexpectedlypopped up in the middle of the Kitty Hawk carrier group which didn't sit very well with the Pentagon.
And back in August '02 the Millenium Challenge war games had a navy convoy virtually attacked and sunk by swarms of cheap boats and weapons in the Persian Gulf.
The problem as I see it with the navy is exemplified by what happened next. They just reset the game and played it out until the US won.

5/4/09 7:01 AM  
Blogger Alex said...

We can't get too confident in our slow and fat naval forces and several instances prove it. A year and a half ago that Chinese sub suddenly and unexpectedlypopped up in the middle of the Kitty Hawk carrier group which didn't sit very well with the Pentagon.


I have heard a lot about this instance, the details I have found is that it was sitting on the bottom, however it had to emergency surface cause its oxygen generation system broke; up until then it had been sitting silent becuase it was trying to conserve oxygen; plus was having plant troubles, so whilst it was an interesting event I am not sure how 'spectactular' it was.

yours sincerly

Alex

5/4/09 7:58 AM  
Blogger nolocontendere said...

Hmm, I didn't know about that. Still it hadn't been detected until it surfaced at which time it could have been quite a threat despite all the support vessels.
I simply hate the thought that all the gunboat diplomacy over the last number of years and continuing with this admin is putting thousands of servicepeople at great risk. One well placed cruise missile and 4,500 people with all that gold plated shiny hardware is lost.

5/4/09 9:24 AM  

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